The post Bitcoin Bull Run Incoming as BTC CAGR Hits 31% appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Bitcoin’s strong performance in April and May has reignited hopes for a major bullish breakout. From April 9 to May 22, the Bitcoin price surged by 46.32%, including an 18.48% rally between May 5 and 22. The price recovery has also pushed its Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) higher, signaling renewed market optimism.
Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr recently highlighted a notable spike in Bitcoin’s 4-year CAGR. In April 2025, it had dropped to just 7%, reflecting Bitcoin’s volatile start to the year. In January, BTC grew by 9.54%, but the following months saw sharp declines—down 17.5% in February and 2.19% in March. The price even touched a low of $74,446.79 in April.
However, the market rebounded strongly. By June 2025, Adler reports that Bitcoin’s CAGR climbed back to 31%.
“This sharp rebound shows how quickly the long-term trend can shift when strong buyer momentum enters the market,” Adler stated.
Yet, he notes that 31% CAGR is still below historical bull market peaks, implying more room for growth.
Axel Adler Jr forecasts a possible Bitcoin price target of $168,000 by October 2025, assuming momentum in the futures market and leverage continues.
He bases this projection on accelerating growth and historical patterns observed during prior bull runs.
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In the discussion thread, X user Manu suggested a more refined way to interpret CAGR—by dividing it by the standard deviation to eliminate volatility and highlight risk-adjusted returns.
Adler agreed with the approach, stating it offers a cleaner view of market performance, but also emphasized another critical point:
“The real inflection point comes when investors start taking profits based on expected returns.”
According to him, the risk of a bear market grows once BTC trading volume crosses 1 million coins, as large-scale profit-taking can disrupt supply-demand balance.
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