The post US CPI Data Release Today: Will Bitcoin Price Explode or Crash? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is set to be released today at 8:30 a.m. ET, and markets are bracing for impact. With Wall Street consensus pointing to 2.9% inflation, traders are preparing for sharp volatility across stocks and crypto, particularly Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins.
Analysts expect a 0.3% monthly rise in CPI, bringing the annual rate from 2.7% in July to 2.9% in August.
Adding to the uncertainty, yesterday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report came in much lower than expected, fueling speculation that CPI could also surprise to the downside. Some analysts suggest this could even open the door for a 50 bps rate cut at the Fed’s September 17 FOMC meeting.
Major banks are split on the outcome. Goldman Sachs warned CPI inflation may hit a new high in August, while Bank of America echoed the consensus forecast of 2.9%, matching Wall Street’s baseline expectations.
The Federal Reserve has emphasized its data-dependent approach, meaning today’s inflation reading will heavily influence how aggressive the central bank will be in cutting rates.
Bitcoin has been highly sensitive to CPI prints this year. The last three CPI releases each triggered a 9–11% drop in BTC, highlighting how critical today’s numbers could be.
Currently, BTC has reclaimed the $112,000 level on the daily timeframe following the bullish PPI data.

“I’m holding my assets and waiting for more upside move to offload,” one trader said, signaling caution despite the bullish setup.
This is not just another inflation update; it will set the tone for the September 17 Fed meeting and shape the path of interest rate cuts for the rest of 2025. If inflation continues climbing for the fourth consecutive month, the Fed may be forced to hold back on aggressive easing, which could pressure risk assets.
On the other hand, a softer CPI could spark a rally across crypto, giving bulls the momentum they’ve been waiting for as Q4 begins.
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