$300,000 Bitcoin Price Target for 2029 Reaffirmed by Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer

2 min readPublished 26 Sep 2026Updated 26 Sep 2026, 22:05 UTC

The firm’s director of global macro says a mathematical growth model still points to that price by the end of the decade.

Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s director of global macro, has restated his view that Bitcoin could trade near $300,000 by 2029. He frames the figure as the output of a quantitative model, not a speculative guess. The projection has drawn renewed attention after being referenced across several crypto news outlets this week.

Timmer has built a reputation for applying macro and quantitative frameworks to Bitcoin’s price trajectory. His approach typically weighs historical growth curves, adoption trends, and monetary comparisons against traditional assets like gold. By describing the $300,000 figure as grounded in math, he distances it from purely sentiment-driven price talk common in crypto markets.

Fidelity itself has taken an increasingly active institutional role in digital assets. The firm operates a spot Bitcoin ETF and has built out custody and trading infrastructure for institutional clients. A senior figure at the firm publicly reaffirming a long-term price target carries weight partly because of that institutional footprint, not just the number itself.

The timing of the reaffirmation matters. Bitcoin has spent recent years oscillating through cycles of rapid appreciation and sharp drawdowns, often tied to macro conditions, interest rate expectations, and shifting risk appetite. A multi-year target framed around 2029 gives investors a longer horizon than typical short-term price chatter, positioning it as a structural forecast rather than a trading call.

Analysts who build models like Timmer’s generally rely on assumptions about Bitcoin’s scarcity, its fixed supply schedule, and comparisons to how gold or other stores of value have appreciated over long periods. Whether those assumptions hold depends on continued institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and macro conditions that are impossible to fully predict years in advance.

It is worth noting that long-range price targets, even from credentialed analysts at major asset managers, remain projections rather than guarantees. Market conditions, regulatory shifts, and macroeconomic shocks can all alter growth trajectories substantially. Readers should treat the figure as one analyst’s modeled outlook rather than a certainty.

Market Impact

A reaffirmed long-term target from a Fidelity executive may reinforce institutional narratives around Bitcoin as a long-duration store-of-value asset. It could influence how allocators and financial advisors frame Bitcoin exposure within diversified portfolios over multi-year horizons.

However, the forecast does not change near-term market fundamentals such as liquidity conditions, regulatory developments, or macroeconomic pressures that typically drive shorter-term price action. Investors should weigh such projections alongside broader market data rather than treating them as standalone signals.

Timmer’s reaffirmation adds another data point to the ongoing institutional discussion around Bitcoin’s long-term valuation. The $300,000 figure remains a projection tied to a specific analytical framework, not a confirmed outcome.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is Jurrien Timmer?

Jurrien Timmer is Fidelity’s director of global macro, known for applying quantitative and macro-based models to asset price forecasting, including Bitcoin.

What is the basis for the $300,000 Bitcoin target?

Timmer describes the figure as derived from a mathematical model rather than speculative estimation, though the specific inputs of that model were not detailed in the reports.